Authority-Driven Risk Scoring

The World's Most Aggressive Tax Jurisdictions

Where modern enforcement bites hardest. A snapshot of audit intensity, anti-abuse posture, and cross-border recoveries across the jurisdictions our clients meet most.

38,400+
Cross-border audits opened (OECD 2024)
+312%
Treaty benefits denied via PPT (5y)
104
MLI signatories enforcing anti-abuse
€4.7M
Average exposure per challenged structure

Aggressiveness Index 2025

Composite score weighing audit rate, PPT enforcement intensity, and average cross-border recoveries. Higher means more friction for international structures.

#JurisdictionAuthorityRisk ScoreAudit RatePPT PressureAnnual Recoveries
01FranceDGFiP
94
12.4%Very High€14.6B
02GermanyBZSt
91
10.8%Very High€11.2B
03ItalyAgenzia delle Entrate
89
9.7%High€10.9B
04SpainAEAT
87
9.1%High€8.4B
05United KingdomHMRC
85
8.3%High£9.1B
06AustraliaATO
83
7.9%HighA$6.7B
07United StatesIRS LB&I
82
7.4%High$24.3B
08CanadaCRA
78
6.8%MediumC$5.2B
09NetherlandsBelastingdienst
74
5.9%Medium€3.8B
10MexicoSAT
72
5.4%MediumMX$98B

Sources: OECD Tax Administration 2024, national tax authority annual reports, EU Tax Observatory. Figures are indicative composites for orientation, not legal advice.

Least Aggressive Jurisdictions 2025

Authorities with a lighter enforcement footprint on cross-border structures. Lower audit intensity, rules-based posture and predictable ruling practice.

#JurisdictionAuthorityRisk ScoreAudit RatePPT PressurePosture
01United Arab EmiratesFTA
18
0.6%Very LowLight-touch enforcement, treaty-friendly
02SingaporeIRAS
22
1.1%LowRules-based, predictable rulings
03SwitzerlandFTA / Cantons
26
1.4%LowAdvance tax rulings widely available
04Hong KongIRD
28
1.6%LowTerritorial system, narrow audit focus
05IrelandRevenue
31
1.9%LowCooperative compliance frameworks
06LuxembourgACD
33
2.1%LowStrong ruling practice, stable doctrine
07MaltaMTCA
35
2.3%LowRefund regime, limited cross-border friction
08CyprusTax Department
37
2.5%Low-MedTreaty network, moderate scrutiny
09EstoniaEMTA
39
2.7%Low-MedDigital-first, deferred profit tax
10PortugalAT
42
3.1%MediumSelective targeting, NHR legacy cases

Most Targeted Holding Jurisdictions

Where companies are most often incorporated for tax efficiency — and where aggressive authorities focus their cross-border challenges, denials and recoveries.

#JurisdictionChallenged ByChallenge RateTop IssueAnnual Exposure
01LuxembourgFrance, Germany, Italy, Spain
47%
Substance / POEM€3.1B
02NetherlandsGermany, France, UK, Italy
44%
Conduit / PPT€2.8B
03IrelandFrance, Germany, UK, US
41%
IP migration / PPT€4.2B
04CyprusItaly, Germany, Spain
39%
Beneficial ownership€1.4B
05MaltaItaly, Germany, France
37%
Refund regime / PPT€0.9B
06SwitzerlandFrance, Italy, Germany
34%
POEM / dual residency€1.7B
07UAEFrance, Spain, Italy
32%
Substance / POEM€1.1B
08SingaporeAustralia, UK, France
29%
Substance / PPT€1.3B
09Hong KongAustralia, UK, US
27%
Source / beneficial owner€0.8B
10BVI / CaymanFrance, UK, Germany, US
52%
Economic substance€2.6B

Challenge rate = share of audited cross-border structures whose treaty benefits or residency were contested over the last 5 years. Indicative composites, not legal advice.

See your Defensive Risk Score against any of these authorities.

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